Polymarket Trader

PPMT

0x510f4963b66b1b18505faab74b0bb943d1dda43c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $302.1
Realized PnL: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $607.59
Potential profit: $607.59
User PnL: -$107.88

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $18.61
Potential payout: $123.26
Potential profit: $104.65
Multiplier: 6.62x
User PnL: -$7.28

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $18.47
Potential payout: $123.1
Potential profit: $104.64
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$68.39

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $105.17
Potential payout: $123.01
Potential profit: $17.84
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $122.35
Potential profit: $118.92
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$10.03

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.49
Potential payout: $120.92
Potential profit: $109.43
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.77
Potential profit: $120.77
User PnL: -$6.13

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $27.01
Potential payout: $120.06
Potential profit: $93.04
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.02
Potential profit: $120.02
User PnL: -$6.01

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.01
Potential profit: $120.01
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.01
Potential profit: $120.01
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $240?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $106.8
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $22.2
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $97.8
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 490 million subscribers by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.06
Potential profit: $115.06
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $17.51
Potential payout: $112.98
Potential profit: $95.46
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$48.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.92
Potential profit: $109.92
User PnL: -$11.04

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $107.13
Potential profit: $106.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$81.67

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.98
Potential profit: $106.98
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on week 1?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.68
Potential profit: $106.68
User PnL: -$6.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.08
Potential profit: $106.08
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $25.85
Potential payout: $105.5
Potential profit: $79.65
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.03
Potential profit: $105.03
User PnL: -$14.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.95

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.44

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.78

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.32

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.84

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.1

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.82

Yes position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 27.2%
Multiplier: 3.68x
User PnL: $97.93

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.34

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.76

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.52

No position

Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 73.4%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $75.65

No position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $74.67

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.65

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.91

Yes position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.18

No position

Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.88

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.22

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.54

No position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.72

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

Yes 24% 20 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 70% 48.6 shares
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Yes 11% 27.1 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 86% 6.95 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 50% 0.9 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 71% 8.08 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 12% 10 shares
Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 16% 5 shares
Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 18% 5 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 86% 59.7 shares
Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 14% 5 shares
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

No 46% 30 shares