No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $22.46
- Potential payout
- $22.49
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.24
Polymarket Trader
0x51112272EBA8e462100A6Ca6CC466a93f4908889-1772606234663
0x51112272eba8e462100a6ca6cc466a93f4908889
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.46
- Realized PnL
- $1.17
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 0.1% 1,075 shares
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 0.2% 1,075 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.8% 22.49 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 29?No 99% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 29?No 99.4% 10.65 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99.2% 33 shares
- Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No 99.7% 26.21 shares
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.6% 15.67 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.4% 16.79 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 0.1% 500 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No 99.9% 18 shares