Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $103.45
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
Excvnmbsjhgreccmcxvb
0x5114106fff3c2348ac62da0bcaedb736ac4aecac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.69
- Realized PnL
- $23.52
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $17.69
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Under position
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 20.69 shares
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under 56% 1,794.64 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 96.8% 20.42 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 97.9% 20.43 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 98.6% 87.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown 32% 62.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp 29% 103.45 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 85% 139.82 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 81% 146.98 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 146.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.9% 162.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.9% 162.99 shares