Polymarket Trader

onchainbuda

0x51290f407e2afd63661ba3da050c6a6870fdadd5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.14K
Realized PnL: $1.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 30m?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Jennifer Lopez win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$37.8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.08K

Yes position

Will Gene Hackman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will How to Train Your Dragon be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Diane Keaton be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mohammed Sinwar be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Weapons be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will George Foreman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ismail Haniyeh be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will D’Angelo be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Giorgio Armani be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $989.77
Potential profit: $989.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Joseph Quinn be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Florence Pugh be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.18
Potential profit: $285.18
User PnL: -$259.51

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$100.8

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39.5

Pimblett position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $261.99

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.13

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.47

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.8

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.3

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.11

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.06

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.88

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.61

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.29

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.02

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 85% 619.43 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 47% 1,108.9 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 80% 1,200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 16% 2,400 shares
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Phantom 54% 5.56 shares
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire 55% 1.82 shares
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex

Kent 50% 6 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Camila Osorio 56% 8.93 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidel

Jelena Ostapenko 81% 4.94 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic

Panna Udvardy 57% 3.51 shares
World Championships: USA vs. Hungary

USA 97% 22.68 shares
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-25?

Yes 67% 2.99 shares