No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $21.69K
- Potential profit
- $20.26K
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- $287.47
Polymarket Trader
0x5138101436a64861bFEc8a2418285bC018D04fe5-1766690813201
0x5138101436a64861bfec8a2418285bc018d04fe5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.57K
- Realized PnL
- $2.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.13K
- Potential profit
- $20.13K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $91.44
- Potential payout
- $16.63K
- Potential profit
- $16.53K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$909.86
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.99K
- Potential profit
- $8.99K
- User PnL
- -$566.73
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.26K
- Potential profit
- $8.26K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.59K
- Potential profit
- $5.59K
- User PnL
- -$171
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $45.98
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$954.02
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$163.41
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$292.19
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $977.17
- Potential profit
- $977.17
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $659.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $239.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.52
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.74
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.49
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.24
Yes position
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 5.6% 50.98 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 3.5% 308.47 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 16,625.09 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 10.3% 1,605.48 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes 9.1% 6,329.63 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes 9% 12,911.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.7% 2,867.57 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 13.9% 759.02 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 11% 2,656.27 shares
- Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes 2.4% 8,258.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 5.4% 7,383.27 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 5.9% 977.17 shares