Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $75.74
- Potential payout
- $11.65K
- Potential profit
- $11.58K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$40.79
Polymarket Trader
0x5144...37c9
0x51443076fb1d6ef85ac16de97ae86c018e0c37c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $6.09K
- Realized PnL
- $4.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $33.97
- Potential payout
- $9.71K
- Potential profit
- $9.67K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $62.32
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.66
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $27.51
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$11.33
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- $18.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $403.52
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.88
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$43.13
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $913.1
- Potential profit
- $911.73
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$652.06
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $664.53
- Potential payout
- $718.41
- Potential profit
- $53.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $164.54
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $353.55
- Potential payout
- $714.24
- Potential profit
- $360.69
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$46.43
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $540.14
- Potential payout
- $617.3
- Potential profit
- $77.16
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $40.13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $34.94
- Potential payout
- $602.4
- Potential profit
- $567.46
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$65.06
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $168.51
- Potential payout
- $370.35
- Potential profit
- $201.84
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$31.48
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.4%
- Current value
- $174.43
- Potential payout
- $284.08
- Potential profit
- $109.65
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$25.57
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $151.05
- Potential payout
- $211.26
- Potential profit
- $60.21
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$13.73
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $26.85
- Potential payout
- $204.99
- Potential profit
- $178.14
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- -$23.15
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $22.41
- Potential payout
- $160.08
- Potential profit
- $137.67
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$46.42
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.75
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $52.28
- Potential profit
- $47.71
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$10.43
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $19.1
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $9.1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $17.85
- Potential profit
- $16.24
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.39
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $10.05
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.43
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.69
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.05
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $397.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.07
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- $268.16
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.14
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $112.81
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $112.21
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $72.84
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.06
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.84
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.67
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.21
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.79
Yes position
Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.45
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.71
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $38.86
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.88
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $37.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.7% 947.98 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 73.8% 271.06 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 73.9% 676.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 641.03 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 65.5% 305.48 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 73% 75 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 72% 120.05 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 75.9% 395.33 shares
- Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?Yes 96.4% 506.58 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 70% 78.98 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 24.4% 204.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.7% 678.58 shares