Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $18K
- User PnL
- -$665.82
Polymarket Trader
65154861
0x514550b8f94f24e3bd5fca1c8af19e985fb71f46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $503.08K
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.51K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.48K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.76K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.19K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 69% 24,074.03 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 77% 2,400 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 20% 8,250 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 27% 10,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 21% 2,771 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes 60% 40 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 20% 38,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 18% 17,906.65 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 18% 19,500 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 64% 3,780.28 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 17% 32,200 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 51% 10,000 shares