Polymarket Trader

guohao

0x515612e9364a8b06e058a7457c8c2357ef8884c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.87
Realized PnL: $122.59
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.51K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$161.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.93
Potential profit: $256.93
User PnL: -$210.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.06
Potential profit: $253.06
User PnL: -$31.88

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.02
Potential profit: $124.02
User PnL: -$10.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.83
Potential profit: $119.83
User PnL: -$68.87

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.54
Potential profit: $95.54
User PnL: -$10.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.68
Potential profit: $76.68
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.58
Potential profit: $44.58
User PnL: -$29.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.05
Potential profit: $40.05
User PnL: -$9.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.73
Potential profit: $35.73
User PnL: -$19.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.56

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 27?

Yes 0.6% 1,546.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 27?

Yes 82.4% 80 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 27?

Yes 79.5% 108.75 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 82% 235.94 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 57% 344.82 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 20.99 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 58% 344.83 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 19% 105.26 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 41.43 shares
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 3,512.9 shares
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 12,372.74 shares
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 12,372.74 shares