Polymarket Trader

bearsnever

0x5157496cc031749287487221b6983eafd80e942b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.68K
Realized PnL: $5.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.1%
Current value: $516.22
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $16.22

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $706.55

Yes position

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $695.68

No position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$505.26

Yes position

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.27
Potential profit: $777.27
User PnL: -$303.14

Yes position

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $660.79
Potential payout: $660.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $416.3

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $642.99
Potential payout: $642.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $360.08

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440.79
Potential profit: $440.79
User PnL: -$176.32

No position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.04
Potential profit: $396.04
User PnL: -$198.02

Yes position

Will CA Belgrano vs. Racing Club end in a draw?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.16
Potential profit: $392.16
User PnL: -$101.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.14
Potential profit: $383.14
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $240.96
Potential payout: $240.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $139.76

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $228.57
Potential payout: $228.57
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.43

Yes position

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $173.91
Potential payout: $173.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $76.52

Yes position

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $162.54
Potential payout: $162.54
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $94.27

No position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $142.6
Potential payout: $142.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $109.8

No position

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.37
Potential profit: $139.37
User PnL: -$100.34

No position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 70.8%
Current value: $98.19
Potential payout: $138.78
Potential profit: $40.59
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$1.73

No position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.4%
Current value: $97.54
Potential payout: $129.37
Potential profit: $31.83
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $125.79
Potential payout: $125.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $25.16

No position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $124.75
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $24.75

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $71.87
Potential payout: $109.73
Potential profit: $37.86
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100.15
Potential payout: $100.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100.15
Potential payout: $100.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $32.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $621.9

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Suns

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.4

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.53

Over position

Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.98

Predators position

Predators vs. Sharks

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245

Under position

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.27

Hurricanes position

Bruins vs. Hurricanes

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.11

Valencia position

BC Dubai vs. Valencia

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.26

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-19.5)

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.95

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.88

Hawks position

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.02

New York Mets position

Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.3

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Devils

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.85

Under position

Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.44

Blues position

Sharks vs. Blues

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.96

Tennessee Volunteers position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.34

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.34

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Flames

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.14

Detroit Tigers position

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.16

Grizzlies position

Bulls vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.02

Under position

Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.63

Wild position

Ducks vs. Wild

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.61

Angers SCO position

Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.14

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Utah

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

Chicago Cubs 48% 61.95 shares
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Thunder 47% 62.4 shares
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Magic 51% 63.9 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

No 77% 86.09 shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?

No 52% 67.23 shares
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 67.76 shares
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5

Under 61.3% 71.03 shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner

Karmine Corp 64% 93.94 shares
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?

Yes 64% 73.4 shares
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?

No 43% 68.6 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

BetBoom Team 55% 69.61 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets

New York Mets 63% 76.95 shares