Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $402.18K
- Potential profit
- $402.18K
- User PnL
- -$47.41K
Polymarket Trader
ishouldnot
0x515e2144bf38402568979db4ea7f6b64636c8309
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.67K
- Realized PnL
- $38.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $85.13K
- Potential payout
- $85.26K
- Potential profit
- $127.89
- User PnL
- $15.39K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $44.98K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- User PnL
- $25.25K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $29.09K
- Potential payout
- $29.51K
- Potential profit
- $427.96
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $24.94K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- $842.6
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $19.43K
- Potential payout
- $20.2K
- Potential profit
- $767.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $696.49
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$9.9K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $13.02K
- Potential payout
- $14.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $339.23
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $12.64K
- Potential payout
- $12.76K
- Potential profit
- $121.24
- User PnL
- $231.17
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $9.91K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $95
- User PnL
- $405.01
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $8.54K
- Potential payout
- $8.62K
- Potential profit
- $81.86
- User PnL
- $242.5
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $3.22K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $3.87K
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $109.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.79
No position
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $319.79
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $28.7
No position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $190.21
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $23.78
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $133.87
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.85K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $350
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $90.01
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $58
No position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $41.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $45.41
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $99.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $16.85
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$18.5
No position
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $350.9
- Potential payout
- $372.5
- Potential profit
- $21.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.35K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $985.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $974.29
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $458.56
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.58
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $273.13
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $262.72
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.14
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.96
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.11
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.72
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.21
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $124.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 43.8% 86.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 41.4% 45 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 27.6% 7 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 79.4% 15.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 79.5% 129.15 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 79.7% 108.32 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 80% 124.21 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 89.7% 75.31 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 94.8% 480.42 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 94.1% 1,042.04 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 73.8% 98.97 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 66% 124.11 shares