No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0x516cB971Ec49C78a4eeE406d05E54a3bE3a5eb2a-1779074044176
0x516cb971ec49c78a4eee406d05e54a3be3a5eb2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $598.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.67
- Potential profit
- $535.67
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $439.76
- Potential profit
- $439.76
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265.76
- Potential profit
- $265.76
- User PnL
- -$205.5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.47
- Potential profit
- $100.47
- User PnL
- -$1.61
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.15
- Potential profit
- $80.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$30
Indiana Fever position
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.13
- Potential profit
- $37.13
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.76
- Potential profit
- $26.76
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$4
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.18
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.24
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.8
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.01
No position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.43
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
9z position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.72
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.64
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.13
9z position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.29
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 74.1% 4.05 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 89.9% 11 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes 6% 5.44 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes 86% 5.44 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina 9% 7.35 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina 65% 1.54 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina 86% 5.81 shares
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands 56% 8.57 shares
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco 45% 9.43 shares
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco 53% 9.43 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares