Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $27.47
- Potential profit
- $22.39
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Polymarket Trader
0x516e...6e0e
0x516e6beda88cd479d0705bf22bb6167871706e0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $27.59
- Realized PnL
- $247.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.88
- Potential profit
- $16.88
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $14.25
- Potential profit
- $14.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $13.21
- Potential profit
- $11.21
- Multiplier
- 6.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $9.97
- Potential profit
- $5.39
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $9.33
- Potential profit
- $6.77
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $8.45
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $7.76
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $4.47
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $3.67
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?Yes 42% 2.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?Yes 36% 2.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 29?Yes 51% 3.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 29?Yes 30% 9.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?Yes 53% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 28?Yes 22.3% 7.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 28?Yes 14% 9.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?Yes 20% 14.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?Yes 19% 14.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 28?Yes 9.1% 50.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 28?Yes 20% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?Yes 38% 4.29 shares