Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $147
- Potential profit
- $144.5
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$56.7
Polymarket Trader
rogue01
0x5175bc0109f2d291e446dc76b73783c7294502ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $244.29
- Realized PnL
- $159.95
- Win rate
- 52.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $147
- Potential profit
- $141.71
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$46.16
Yes position
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $53.12
- Potential payout
- $128
- Potential profit
- $74.88
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $27.03
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $122.01
- Potential profit
- $116.82
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$34.09
No position
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $53
- User PnL
- -$12.3
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $36.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $19.79
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $44.59
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $49
- User PnL
- -$3.43
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $43.61
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.64
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $43.37
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $16.32
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $31.68
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $6.06
Yes position
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $37.68
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $39.84
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $16.32
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $31.68
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $6.72
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $41.28
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.28
No position
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$3.98
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $6.72
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $41.28
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $17.1
- Potential payout
- $46.86
- Potential profit
- $29.76
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $30.3
- Potential payout
- $45.57
- Potential profit
- $15.27
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $18
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.71
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.12
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33%
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $39.08
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.22
Yes position
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Lynn Vision position
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffs
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?
Ends Mar 7, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.51
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?No 18% 14 shares
- Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?No 18% 6 shares
- Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?No 71.8% 9 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 67% 5 shares
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 79% 27 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 68.4% 45.57 shares
- Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Yes 59% 15 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 29 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 40 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 11% 31.62 shares
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 37% 54 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 71% 55.86 shares