Polymarket Trader

0x517CcE128D6559244d8eA4a6423c0FA7267Ce3fc-1774155416262

0x517cce128d6559244d8ea4a6423c0fa7267ce3fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $370.86
Realized PnL: $4.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
User PnL: -$14.86

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $100.86
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$55.83

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $262.5
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 1 Iraq?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $929.82
Potential profit: $929.82
User PnL: -$210

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $857.93
Potential profit: $857.93
User PnL: -$13.94

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $720.33
Potential profit: $720.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $654.43
Potential profit: $654.43
User PnL: -$120

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544.68
Potential profit: $544.68
User PnL: -$190.64

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.1
Potential profit: $495.1
User PnL: -$170

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $436.43
Potential profit: $436.43
User PnL: -$40.78

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.49
Potential profit: $356.49
User PnL: -$85.07

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.88
Potential profit: $350.88
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.51
Potential profit: $349.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.66

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.92

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.62

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.86

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.18

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 79.2% 126.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Down 55% 92.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Down 30% 333.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 29.3% 833.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 12% 833.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Up 40% 250 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?

Yes 12% 833.33 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 77.7% 128.62 shares
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?

Yes 64% 156.25 shares
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 73.7% 162.71 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 14.2% 350.88 shares