Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.31
- Potential profit
- $17.31
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
0x517D48B67a44a0e3846c91342Ff937074B2d56a5-1781964059813
0x517d48b67a44a0e3846c91342ff937074b2d56a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.53
- Realized PnL
- $55.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $15.37
- Potential payout
- $15.85
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.37
Brazil position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- User PnL
- -$10
France position
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.63
- Potential profit
- $8.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $6.63
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on July 1?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $6.17
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Megaquake by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Egypt position
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Belgium position
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Switzerland position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Portugal position
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Down position
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Down position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 9?Down 88% 1.14 shares
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 9?Down 91% 5.49 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 9?Up 96% 5.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 61% 8.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?Yes 59% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?Yes 99.8% 5.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?Yes 65.3% 7.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?Yes 99.9% 20.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?Yes 66.2% 15.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?Yes 93.7% 5.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?Yes 95.9% 5.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 8?Yes 93% 2.15 shares