No position
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.21K
- Potential profit
- $637.21K
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
Polymarket Trader
AllByMyseIf
0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.48K
- Realized PnL
- $612.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.61K
- Potential profit
- $296.61K
- User PnL
- -$14.99K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.66K
- Potential profit
- $216.66K
- User PnL
- -$21.73K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.59K
- Potential profit
- $171.59K
- User PnL
- -$359.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.2K
- Potential profit
- $109.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
No position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.97K
- Potential profit
- $99.97K
- User PnL
- -$14.36K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.31K
- Potential profit
- $97.31K
- User PnL
- -$2.36K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.2K
- Potential profit
- $95.2K
- User PnL
- -$10.85K
Yes position
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.19K
- Potential profit
- $94.19K
- User PnL
- -$581.97
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.2K
- Potential profit
- $90.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.75K
- Potential profit
- $80.75K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $70.48K
- Potential payout
- $76.19K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.04K
- Potential profit
- $67.04K
- User PnL
- -$8.12K
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.82K
- Potential profit
- $60.82K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.52K
- Potential profit
- $54.52K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.65K
- Potential profit
- $52.65K
- User PnL
- -$510.26
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.71K
- Potential profit
- $47.71K
- User PnL
- -$2.53K
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.23K
- Potential profit
- $47.23K
- User PnL
- -$58.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.77K
- Potential profit
- $46.77K
- User PnL
- -$269.04
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.02K
- Potential profit
- $42.02K
- User PnL
- -$634.38
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.85K
- Potential profit
- $38.85K
- User PnL
- -$221.12
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.38K
- Potential profit
- $37.38K
- User PnL
- -$14.33K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.25K
- Potential profit
- $35.25K
- User PnL
- -$589.17
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.95K
- Potential profit
- $34.95K
- User PnL
- -$83.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.47K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.15K
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.19K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.54K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.01K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.68K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.02K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.18K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.99K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.36K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35K
No position
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75K
No position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.85K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57K
No position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08K
No position
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.85K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35K
No position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.95K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38K
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63K
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $3.55K
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 100,000 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 93% 83.73 shares
- Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 95.6% 829.35 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 3,265.02 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.2% 788.78 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 95% 5.03 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.9% 5,806.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82% 2,411.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.1% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83% 994.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4,106.77 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.2% 400 shares