Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $83.36
- Potential payout
- $200.86
- Potential profit
- $117.5
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$16.64
Polymarket Trader
market-watcher
0x518d8ad68f3ffab238099f23ab4e25878efa5a2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.36
- Realized PnL
- $1.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.32
- Potential profit
- $63.32
- User PnL
- -$32.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.28
- Potential profit
- $19.28
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.61
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.75
Up position
Solana Up or Down on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.64
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.36
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 5PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.17
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Yes position
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
Will Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 3, 12AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9AM ET
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
Yan position
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?Down 49.8% 200.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown 51% 63.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown 71% 14.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?Down 99.2% 166.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?Down 60% 166.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7?Up 50% 18.56 shares
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup PlayoffsFURIA Esports 96% 31.1 shares
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?Yes 51% 13.45 shares
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?No 68% 10.09 shares
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?No 64% 10.72 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Yes 34% 14 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Yes 49.3% 14 shares