No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $4.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
Polymarket Trader
0x518FbfbfF034d3dE4c92e7d13E435ff76D20df4c-1768449182458
0x518fbfbff034d3de4c92e7d13e435ff76d20df4c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.24
- Realized PnL
- $21.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $3.29
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $3.14
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62
- Potential profit
- $2.62
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?No 64.8% 2.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?No 41.7% 2.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?Yes 58.2% 3.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 14?No 99.2% 4.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 14?No 98.1% 1.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?No 75.7% 1.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?Yes 97% 3.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 14?No 95.5% 2.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?Yes 60% 1.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 14?No 84% 1.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 14?Yes 38.2% 2.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?Yes 33.2% 3.01 shares