Yes position
Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.87K
- Potential profit
- $13.87K
- User PnL
- -$37.78
Polymarket Trader
kayman123
0x519ae3707bab90e4d8d2c3c08ffef48c5a5c30a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.29
- Realized PnL
- $73.74
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $17.08
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $6.82K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.92
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $78.41
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $36.41
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.81
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.43
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $30.58
- Potential payout
- $940.92
- Potential profit
- $910.34
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $19.78
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $567.72
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $6.52
- Potential payout
- $221
- Potential profit
- $214.48
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.48
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $74.12
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$7.19
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $51.67
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $49.21
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.84
- Potential profit
- $36.84
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $33.91
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.66
Yes position
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.99
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.87
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 19% 36.84 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes 10% 40 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3% 2,543.93 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 86.96 shares
- Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.3% 709.75 shares
- Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.1% 4,790 shares
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 857.14 shares
- Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 1.3% 692.58 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 1.4% 1,765.26 shares