Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $916.49
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $383.5
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $71.5
Polymarket Trader
222Sera-phina92
0x51a2df3668af5461e66f3eb58edad3eeed0f6dc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $916.49
- Realized PnL
- -$102.21
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $374.71
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $304
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $122.98
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.02
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $20.94
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.63
Yes position
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$68.37
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$119.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$211.1
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$651.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.9% 3,501.98 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 99.8% 1,250 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 92% 1,366.43 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 83% 1,366.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 40% 2,111 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 92% 25 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 91.9% 12.3 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 92.4% 600 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 92.2% 500 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 92.1% 100 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 92% 12.7 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.9% 2,624 shares