No position
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $41.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $22.55
Polymarket Trader
lostinleningrad
0x51ad8bfc74c6cf18df67e637f9ecfc757ce205be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.71K
- Realized PnL
- $938.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $654.49
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $396
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $4.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.63
- Potential profit
- $166.63
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $143.22
- Potential payout
- $158.25
- Potential profit
- $15.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$61.1
No position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $117.44
- Potential payout
- $120.02
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Lopes position
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.65
- Potential profit
- $104.65
- User PnL
- -$45
Hooker position
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $99.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.95
- Potential profit
- $68.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.98
- Potential profit
- $59.98
- User PnL
- -$29.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.08
- Potential profit
- $58.08
- User PnL
- -$24.65
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.6
- Potential profit
- $56.6
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $41.53
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $13.48
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.91
- Potential profit
- $46.91
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Aiemann Zahabi position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.96
- Potential profit
- $39.96
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$20
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.26
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.54
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.78
Under 5.5 position
NHL Playoffs: Hurricanes vs. Flyers Total Games O/U 5.5
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $63.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.55
No position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.97
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Sabres
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.54
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Central Division?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.84
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.85
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.76
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.59
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Canadiens position
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.96
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 800 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 19% 1,164.03 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 65% 70 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?No 60% 50 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?No 40% 50 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 30 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 72% 29.99 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 80.2% 330 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No 89% 440 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 97.3% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 87.2% 55 shares
- Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 95% 1,263.62 shares