0x51aece5696a7c3aAC23cEC55FF81d0FB19e7d57C-1782675365530

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.43

ShindeN position

Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $787.82
Potential profit: $781.52
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.7

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469
Potential profit: $469
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $309.18
Potential profit: $308.72
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $277.03
Potential profit: $239.63
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $17.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $236.25
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $133.95
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.5
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $103.18
Potential profit: $95.39
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.47
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $8.52
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $36.93
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $8.12
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $12.71
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$4.61

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $12.11
Potential profit: $10.6
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.41
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.66

Team Liquid position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $3.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

ShindeN position

Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs ShindeN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down on June 29?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 30?