Polymarket Trader

trumpIsShit

@gmntv42739831

0x51b6b460d57d90a797196e10c86b184db0c34783

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $832.93
Realized PnL: -$442.62
Win rate: 31.3%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $208.25
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $923.52
Multiplier: 5.43x
User PnL: -$600.97

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $991.34
Potential profit: $991.34
User PnL: -$792.38

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $624.68
Potential payout: $645
Potential profit: $20.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.83

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.92

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.15

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.77

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $0

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$41.85

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$258

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$538.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.9% 645 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.9% 696.23 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.2% 696.23 shares
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 96.6% 2,622 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97.1% 2,280.7 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 98% 260.14 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 91.4% 1,332.03 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.2% 1,535.7 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 71.6% 10.5 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 71.5% 1,121.27 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

No 81% 183.86 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

No 81% 480.51 shares