Polymarket Trader

ArztArzt

0x51b812f2868d8e120a1cdbf7d540144d25dc9014

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.02
Realized PnL: $64.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.33
Potential profit: $583.33
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.56
Potential profit: $248.56
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$4.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.29
Potential profit: $24.29
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$1

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.74
Potential profit: $19.74
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$3.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$3.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.77
Potential profit: $11.77
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$3.2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.73
Potential profit: $9.73
User PnL: -$3.11

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $7.52
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.3%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 71% 1.41 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 13.3% 7.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Down 16% 3.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Down 30% 3.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 4% 25 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

No 20% 10 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

No 20% 20 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 15.2% 19.74 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

No 20% 15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 50% 2.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 39% 2.56 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 6.06 shares