Polymarket Trader

0x51BeD2f9b4C83C12f8a131Af66D7bD4373f12dF3-1761226031034

0x51bed2f9b4c83c12f8a131af66d7bd4373f12df3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $624.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $29.4
User PnL: -$10.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.96
Potential profit: $16.96
User PnL: -$4.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.86

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.97

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.35

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 3% 27.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Up 36% 27.78 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.2% 531.91 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 97.4% 1.81 shares
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 68% 1.72 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 58% 1.72 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.4% 425.53 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.4% 106.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 11% 18.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Down 39% 2.56 shares