Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $46.29
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Polymarket Trader
Obsidianheartx
0x51bfb78fb07fc0cb34899a7c9efd9580aaf0a9c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.29
- Realized PnL
- $25.04
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Solary position
LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Magic position
Bucks vs. Magic
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 51.72 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 88% 48.86 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 83.3% 43.22 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No 98.9% 36.36 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?No 99% 36.36 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.3% 35.89 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.5% 35.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 99.5% 34.34 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 99% 34.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 94% 10 shares
- LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonSolary 77% 26.63 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 98.4% 5.08 shares