Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $187.72
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $852.28
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- $53.38
Polymarket Trader
0x51C71f394F119d1B6838415b85Acb4AEF50688cb-1764163254587
0x51c71f394f119d1b6838415b85acb4aef50688cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.07K
- Realized PnL
- $524.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.3%
- Current value
- $176.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $323.75
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $88.25
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $50.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $449.75
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$37.25
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $6.74
- Potential payout
- $245
- Potential profit
- $238.26
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $192.93
- Potential payout
- $200.03
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $193.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $96.9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $99.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $98.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $96.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $96.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $97.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $95.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $96.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $99.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$86
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $92.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $54.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$59.21
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $45.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.7
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.62
No position
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
No position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.35
No position
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
No position
Will Meta (META) close at $640-$650 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.88
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?No 98.8% 24.71 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?No 96.4% 20.41 shares
- Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 96.8% 100 shares
- Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 97.8% 56.01 shares
- Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 97.7% 100 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.9% 100 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.2% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No 96.8% 100 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 92% 60 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.1% 490 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No 96.9% 60 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 96% 59.99 shares