No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x51C8bE2B0E59F5F7C7f8785eA208c5c626B9fb0f-1761309428250
0x51c8be2b0e59f5f7c7f8785ea208c5c626b9fb0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $349.04
- Realized PnL
- $2.85K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $165.07
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- $111.71
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $571.03
- Potential profit
- $570.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Current value
- $183.13
- Potential payout
- $235.54
- Potential profit
- $52.41
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$24.51
No position
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Nathan Butterfield be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Nancy Dyson be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Dan Rooney be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Todd Woods be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.89
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will Kim David be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Kelly B. Walsh be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Jed Cochran be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.89
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will Jackson Stallings be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Courtney Gill be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100.99
- Potential profit
- $100.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ciucu win by at least 12%?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- $808.35
Yes position
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $391.94
No position
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $94.6
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.47
Yes position
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $85.11
Yes position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $19.85
No position
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.96
Yes position
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 3% 1,133.33 shares
- Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 3% 200 shares
- Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 3% 370.44 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 86.3% 100 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 88.2% 335.54 shares
- Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 30 shares
- Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 150 shares
- Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 150 shares
- Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 100 shares
- Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 1,450.56 shares
- Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 1.03 shares
- Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 1.02 shares