Polymarket Trader

Fernmere

0x51ea144665228990363feccc04f7f47e0a218e7d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.52
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.76
Potential profit: $586.76
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.41
Potential profit: $102.41
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.06
Potential profit: $26.06
User PnL: -$7.82

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $20.52
Potential payout: $24.14
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.47

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $2.17

Purdue Boilermakers position

Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin position

Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 87% 24.14 shares
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 51% 2,058.82 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 85% 11.76 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Up 4.3% 586.76 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 83.2% 98.53 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 80.9% 98.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Up 49% 51.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Up 48.6% 51.39 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

No 79.9% 163.23 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

No 64.9% 163.24 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

No 97% 107.22 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

No 98.5% 91.83 shares