Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Polymarket Trader
KrauzeN
@Krauz3N
0x51ec7ad62f3e44e15fbbcb947ec81bc6f68805fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.11K
- Realized PnL
- $1.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $651.95
- Potential profit
- $651.95
- User PnL
- -$52.24
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $66.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $533.1
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$15.3
Yes position
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $451.66
- Potential profit
- $451.66
- User PnL
- -$9.03
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $130.97
- Potential payout
- $402.97
- Potential profit
- $272.01
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$127.48
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $227.26
- Potential payout
- $349.62
- Potential profit
- $122.37
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$7.47
Yes position
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $141.7
- Potential payout
- $345.61
- Potential profit
- $203.91
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$7.74
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $229.32
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $100.68
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$12.18
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Current value
- $242.08
- Potential payout
- $315
- Potential profit
- $72.92
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$13.92
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $187.88
- Potential payout
- $313.13
- Potential profit
- $125.25
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$28.72
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $157.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237
- Potential profit
- $237
- User PnL
- -$67.13
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.67
- Potential profit
- $231.67
- User PnL
- -$54.45
No position
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $127.23
- Potential payout
- $229.24
- Potential profit
- $102.01
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $29.95
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $47.94
- Potential payout
- $204
- Potential profit
- $156.06
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$56.88
No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$63.3
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $180
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $150.43
- Potential payout
- $194.1
- Potential profit
- $43.67
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $12.95
Yes position
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $26.13
- Potential payout
- $193.56
- Potential profit
- $167.43
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$35.15
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $79.8
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $110.2
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$43.7
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $130.63
- Potential payout
- $178.95
- Potential profit
- $48.32
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$6.97
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $42.7
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $97.3
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$47.4
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $76.3
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $63.7
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $25.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.67
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.47
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.32
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.41
No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $105.44
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.94
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.92
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.06
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.36
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.53
No position
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.15
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.9
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.02
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.99
Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $41.67
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.01
No position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $35.53
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.88
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $32.8
Yes position
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.01
No position
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $30.3
No position
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $27.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 94.5% 10 shares
- Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 34.4% 25.49 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 74% 60 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 76.8% 55 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 79% 40 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 68% 70 shares
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?No 53.2% 100 shares
- Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 53% 200.2 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 600 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 121 shares
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreYes 20% 35 shares
- Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 17% 21 shares