Polymarket Trader

Mardems

0x51f0d8d8798c6d57d8c60af767000ab3df5804e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $151.68
Realized PnL: $294.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $532.73
Potential profit: $532.73
User PnL: -$50.8

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $284.09
Potential profit: $275.14
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$16.05

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $7.57
Potential payout: $260.98
Potential profit: $253.42
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$22.43

Yes position

Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $23.87
Potential payout: $170.5
Potential profit: $146.63
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$26.13

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 1800 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $10.83
Potential payout: $166.54
Potential profit: $155.72
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$19.17

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.86
Potential profit: $162.86
User PnL: -$21.8

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $47.7
Potential payout: $127.21
Potential profit: $79.51
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $125.29
Potential profit: $124.97
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$25.69

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 1650 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $25.63
Potential payout: $122.05
Potential profit: $96.42
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$16.97

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 1700 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $60.57
Potential profit: $55.73
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$15.15

Yes position

Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $13.32
Potential payout: $42.29
Potential profit: $28.97
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$6.68

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.65
Potential profit: $19.65
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.52
Potential profit: $19.52
User PnL: -$7.81

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.42
Potential profit: $16.42
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 1400 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $4.89
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$4.37

Clippers position

Thunder vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.82
Potential profit: $7.82
User PnL: -$1.96

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.08
Potential profit: $7.08
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.59
Potential profit: $4.59
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$0.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.41

Joe Pyfer position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $16.59

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 1550 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.29

Heat position

76ers vs. Heat

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Raptors position

Pelicans vs. Raptors

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Detroit Tigers position

Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 118.5 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 7% 28.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 20.6% 121.12 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 63.6% 1.57 shares
Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026?

No 89% 1.12 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 87% 3.2 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 256.36 shares
Will USD/KRW hit 1400 (Low) in 2026?

Yes 95% 10.53 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.8% 284.09 shares
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

No 89% 28.09 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Yes 45.4% 100 shares