Yes position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $9.31
- Potential payout
- $715.79
- Potential profit
- $706.49
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$16.21
Polymarket Trader
perepuk
0x51f28ce013c317c1ce3de78aaa6107ed962538ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.43
- Realized PnL
- $8.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $636.77
- Potential profit
- $636.77
- User PnL
- -$51.02
No position
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $481.24
- Potential profit
- $481.24
- User PnL
- -$161.6
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $467.74
- Potential profit
- $467.74
- User PnL
- -$31.23
No position
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $62.11
- Potential payout
- $400.73
- Potential profit
- $338.61
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.37
- Potential profit
- $399.37
- User PnL
- -$5.69
Yes position
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.34
- Potential profit
- $339.34
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$3.52
Yes position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $51.91
- Potential payout
- $273.21
- Potential profit
- $221.3
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$170.3
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $231.12
- Potential profit
- $229.27
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.44
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $228.64
- Potential profit
- $227.5
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.75
No position
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.96
- Potential profit
- $214.96
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Yes position
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $21.42
- Potential payout
- $204.04
- Potential profit
- $182.61
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$122.87
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.86
- Potential profit
- $198.86
- User PnL
- -$33.01
Yes position
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $34.86
- Potential payout
- $188.43
- Potential profit
- $153.57
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$69.98
Yes position
Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $8.62
- Potential payout
- $169.44
- Potential profit
- $160.82
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$15.38
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.49
- Potential profit
- $163.49
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Yes position
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $146.97
- Potential profit
- $144.99
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$15.01
Yes position
Will Tony Thurmond finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $144.28
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.85
- Potential profit
- $141.85
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $140.01
- Potential profit
- $139.52
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$52.04
No position
Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$23.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $641.71
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $496.2
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $484.39
No position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $475.46
No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $408.33
Yes position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $396.62
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $386.47
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $370
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.7
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $355.91
No position
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $354.87
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Multiplier
- 13.99x
- User PnL
- $351.71
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $346.21
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $344.71
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $334.63
Yes position
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $324.09
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $321.48
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.33
No position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $315.13
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $288.06
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $282.42
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $278.54
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $268
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $261.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes 80% 3.25 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?No 71.1% 4.49 shares
- Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes 24% 4.85 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 68% 8.76 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?No 89% 9.4 shares
- Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?No 84% 11.88 shares
- Will Michael Masuda advance from the CA-05 primary election?No 1% 15 shares
- Will Brandon West be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?Yes 1% 10 shares
- Will Moises Ballesteros win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes 1% 20 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by June 30?Yes 1.1% 20 shares
- Will Aaron Boone win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes 1% 30 shares
- Will Innio not IPO before August 2026?Yes 2% 3.29 shares