Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3
Polymarket Trader
Mackenzie103
0x51ff699759100d2bbd60625efb7895c433ea5859
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50
- Realized PnL
- $3.99
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 8.5
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 94% 50 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.8% 43 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.8% 43 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 82% 52 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 94.4% 50 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.7% 50 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.3% 74 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36% 38 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36% 127 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 24% 92 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 41% 47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 42% 47 shares