Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $246.38
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$35.28
Polymarket Trader
445lksadff3
0x52150fda78ce12e04bf18a28aaa02a2e4e8dc715
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.14
- Realized PnL
- $398.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $53.52
- Potential payout
- $74.85
- Potential profit
- $21.33
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $28.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.94
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.93
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.87
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Yes 33.4% 74.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp 87% 1.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 95% 1.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown 95% 1.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown 71% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown 89% 1.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp 93% 1.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp 95% 1.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown 81% 1.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp 81% 1.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown 94% 1.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown 86% 1.96 shares