Polymarket Trader

N123

0x521b38b7e941c3f80d23d5901a51efabdc0cc47e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $289.43
Realized PnL: $386.86
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214K
Potential profit: $214K
User PnL: -$214

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $88.43
Potential payout: $13.6K
Potential profit: $13.52K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $201
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $799.01
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: -$69

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.99
Potential profit: $439.99
User PnL: -$26.84

No position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49
Potential profit: $2.49
User PnL: -$1.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.18

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.71

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.19

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.34

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.24

No position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

No position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.95

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$130

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 13,285.48 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 77% 64.94 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 22.2% 160 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 14.8% 40 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 70% 160 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 14.6% 200 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 20.1% 589.79 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.4% 5,000 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

No 21% 500 shares
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

No 5% 12.39 shares
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

No 97.7% 97 shares