Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $149.81
- Potential payout
- $5.9K
- Potential profit
- $5.75K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$44.83
Polymarket Trader
Hannah-Montana
0x521bf1c6a5435219b599127d85b7afe28758db60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $26.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $162.61
- Potential payout
- $956.53
- Potential profit
- $793.92
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $66.96
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $801.85
- Potential profit
- $801.85
- User PnL
- -$56.13
Under position
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $567.91
- Potential profit
- $567.91
- User PnL
- -$141.98
Yes position
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $301.49
- Potential payout
- $538.38
- Potential profit
- $236.89
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$80.76
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.04
- Potential profit
- $357.04
- User PnL
- -$174.15
Yes position
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $264.76
- Potential profit
- $258.41
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$180.16
No position
Will Sean Sweeney be the next head coach of the Dallas Mavericks?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $231.73
- Potential payout
- $240.01
- Potential profit
- $8.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $75.72
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.08
- Potential payout
- $199.18
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $80.87
- Potential payout
- $119.9
- Potential profit
- $39.03
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$33.16
No position
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Buffalo Bills next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $83.29
- Potential payout
- $83.75
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $60.28
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $50.58
- Potential payout
- $53.95
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $34.77
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $32.45
- Potential payout
- $32.61
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $24.34
- Potential payout
- $24.5
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $1.5
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Wizards position
Wizards vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $947.68
Israel position
Euro Basket: Israel vs France
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $899.99
No position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.79
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $826.45
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.29
Yes position
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.47
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $627.23
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.75
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $617.92
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.4
Slovenia position
Euro Basket: Israel vs Slovenia
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Yes position
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.24
Yes position
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.06
No position
Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.06
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290
No position
Will Alperen Şengün win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 14,900 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Yes 89.1% 51.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 4,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 500 shares
- Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 91% 547.53 shares
- Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 30% 393.67 shares
- Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 17% 512.83 shares
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes 87% 1.08 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes 98.7% 560 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Yes 98.7% 2,000 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Yes 98% 715 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?No 97.7% 100 shares