Polymarket Trader

OctoGeo

0x5222b6bbda3f9af311bd183afd5791a7ca2e7437

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.16
Realized PnL: $80.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $6.72
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $53.52
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.54
Potential profit: $41.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.06
Potential profit: $34.06
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Finland win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kenya win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.7
Potential profit: $26.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Philippines vs. Guam end in a draw?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.61
Potential profit: $23.61
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $19.45
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kenya win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will North Macedonia win on 2026-06-01?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $14.6
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Malta win on 2026-06-01?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morocco vs. Madagascar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Suns position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $10.81
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Palestine win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.6
Potential profit: $10.6
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.41
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will OGC Nice vs. FC Metz end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Will Girona FC vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 45% 2.22 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 1.72 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 48% 2.08 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 45% 2.22 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares