Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $117.76
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.89K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$20.23
Polymarket Trader
0x522658d3A48a309Ee9421BF4CC9d6173B6B4B4F5-1721256634257
0x522658d3a48a309ee9421bf4cc9d6173b6b4b4f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $441.77
- Realized PnL
- $2.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $131.54
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $3.29K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$8.18
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $65.81
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $32.98
- Potential payout
- $984.59
- Potential profit
- $951.61
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.16
Yes position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $17.4
- Potential payout
- $813.25
- Potential profit
- $795.84
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$11.15
Yes position
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $234.48
- Potential profit
- $221.58
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $203
- Potential profit
- $191.94
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $13.07
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $187.94
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $191.96
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $163.1
- Potential profit
- $157.88
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Yes position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $101.21
- Potential profit
- $98.42
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $101.01
- Potential profit
- $96.46
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $98.84
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $95.45
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $94.44
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $47.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $702.47
No position
Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.79
No position
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.99
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.08
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.91
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- $97.98
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.59
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.38
Yes position
2025 January hottest on record?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.01
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.49
No position
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.51
No position
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.98
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.71
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.59
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.44
No position
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.5
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.19
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $24.33
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $23.07
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.46
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.03
No position
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.71
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Yes position
Will Pope Francis step down before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Yes 6.7% 51 shares
- Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 32% 51 shares
- Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.7% 51 shares
- Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Yes 6% 21 shares
- KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Yes 8% 200 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes 6% 51 shares
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes 17% 51 shares
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes 23.3% 51 shares
- Don Lemon charges dropped?Yes 0.9% 355.44 shares
- Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes 8% 13 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 15% 201 shares
- Tucker Carlson federally charged?Yes 1.1% 198.73 shares