Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $280.1
- Potential payout
- $478.8
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.97
Polymarket Trader
Aware.
0x5231bce44b83d75d238468c0284eb3b06d40ca59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $912.9
- Realized PnL
- -$27.22
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $40.44
- Potential payout
- $179.35
- Potential profit
- $138.9
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- $7.44
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $80.75
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $89.25
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $125.21
- Potential payout
- $157.5
- Potential profit
- $32.29
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Current value
- $115.14
- Potential payout
- $139.99
- Potential profit
- $24.85
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $7.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $86.26
- Potential payout
- $135.85
- Potential profit
- $49.58
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $14.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $96.13
- Potential payout
- $109.86
- Potential profit
- $13.73
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $18.13
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $70.6
- Potential payout
- $93.51
- Potential profit
- $22.91
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $18.26
- Potential payout
- $22.68
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.04
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$23.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 8 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 1 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 1 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 1 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 1 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 1 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 1 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.5% 1 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5% 136.36 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 27, 2026?Yes 91.4% 77.59 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 27, 2026?Yes 96.7% 77.6 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.4% 179.35 shares