Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
Polymarket Trader
0x5234c09B1dcf105Bb26EF62Aec4E85B81dC5d3da-1772368901166
0x5234c09b1dcf105bb26ef62aec4e85b81dc5d3da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.45K
- Realized PnL
- -$495.27
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.37K
- Potential payout
- $4.78K
- Potential profit
- $406.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $430.57
Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $46.51
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$153.48
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $250
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$76.08
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$287.98
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $100.88
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $99.12
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Down position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$136
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.55
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.72
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.34
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.72
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.61
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.24
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$29.11
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207.63
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$272.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$636
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 6.7% 405.4 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?Up 53% 188.68 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes 66% 454.55 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 74% 405.41 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.6% 1,265.82 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7.9% 1,265.82 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 99.3% 1,059.13 shares
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No 92% 2,173.91 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No 88% 1,136.72 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No 96.7% 1,031.77 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.4% 1,059.14 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.9% 149.25 shares