No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $351.85
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $158.15
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $61.15
Polymarket Trader
redrockcapital
@BloodManas58834
0x523dd60711213c0e7ad0fd64b4831099416dcc1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $376.11
- Realized PnL
- $3.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $11.16
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $60.84
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$14.04
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $11.44
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $651
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.54
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during Taoiseach events?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.95
Xavier Musketeers position
Xavier Musketeers vs. Clemson Tigers
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $259.35
Yes position
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $135.12
Yes position
Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.98
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.41
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.52
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.12
Yes position
Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73
Yes position
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 60 by April 30?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.52
No position
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $55.3
No position
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.44
Yes position
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.52
Yes position
Will Trump post "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.08
Yes position
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.68
No position
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $40.95
Yes position
Will Silent Hill f win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.23
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $30.96
Yes position
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.58
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $27.99
No position
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.2
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 59% 14 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 59% 55 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 57% 579 shares
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?No 76% 56 shares
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?No 76% 46 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No 74% 339 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No 73% 73 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 79% 662 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No 74% 412 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 83% 662 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?No 34.2% 913 shares
- Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?No 70% 628 shares