Polymarket Trader

Kentastrof1

0x525538094e601910d1db84095af8d3114eec6e58

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.43K
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $313.2
Potential payout: $659.36
Potential profit: $346.16
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $92.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $407.75
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $11.65

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $487.75
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $467.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$16.17

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $477.74
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$12.75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $54.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $345.4
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$6.3

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $321.86
Potential payout: $367.84
Potential profit: $45.98
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $15.72

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $80.9
Potential payout: $345
Potential profit: $264.1
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$89.47

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $37.61
Potential payout: $299.66
Potential profit: $262.05
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $3.76

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $190.78
Potential payout: $227.12
Potential profit: $36.34
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $187.7
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $187
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $103.55
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $13.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $50.74
Potential payout: $100.48
Potential profit: $49.74
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?

Ends Nov 22, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $25.01
Potential payout: $100.05
Potential profit: $75.04
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$15.32

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$39

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.66
Potential profit: $22.66
User PnL: -$15

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $9.91
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $7.33
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.52

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $101.94

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.72

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.01

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.2

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.73

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.34

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $43.09

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.45

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.87

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.78

No position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.36

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.79

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.86

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.05

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.62

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.02

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 57% 8.77 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 99.9% 23.51 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 76% 10.53 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 58% 17.24 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 90% 30 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 89% 70.59 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 38.6% 178 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 37.9% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 48% 436.45 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 48% 222.91 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 84% 60 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 81% 16 shares