Polymarket Trader

0x525E4F0520927D26b90e8cF922B626f655C3c78d-1776017911545

0x525e4f0520927d26b90e8cf922b626f655c3c78d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2K
Realized PnL: $404.34
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.3%
Current value: $996.78
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $103.81
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.74K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$91.18

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $429.35
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $657.61
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$70.65

Yes position

Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $647.71
Potential profit: $647.71
User PnL: -$94.56

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $23.46
Potential payout: $438.6
Potential profit: $415.13
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $315.4
Potential payout: $404.1
Potential profit: $88.7
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $15.4

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $38.15
Potential payout: $281.57
Potential profit: $243.42
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $30.11
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $187.28
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $32.31
Potential payout: $211.86
Potential profit: $179.56
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $7.31

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $20.45
Potential payout: $193.8
Potential profit: $173.35
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$4.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.9
Potential profit: $106.9
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $6.12
Potential payout: $29.17
Potential profit: $23.04
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.76
Potential profit: $24.76
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $173.33

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $81.66

No position

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.21

No position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $26.4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.63

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $10.59

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

No 86% 117 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

No 85% 117.65 shares
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95% 406.74 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 95% 456.14 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 57% 456.14 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 43% 604.42 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 54% 82.42 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 55% 500 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 56% 76.31 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 57% 263.16 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 74.2% 404.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Down 29% 34.48 shares