No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $12.29
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Polymarket Trader
ausgbb
0x5274024253d554f3b5ab92943c897a706cbd8dc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.25
- Realized PnL
- $4.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
James Comey indicted before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Up Only podcast released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
'The Garfield Movie' between $26-30m Opening Weekend?
Ends May 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?
Ends Oct 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Ryan Murphy (USA) win Gold in Men's 100m Backstroke?
Ends Jul 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Steve Bannon jail by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
$BTC dips below $45k before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.3% 1.13 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 12.29 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No 97.3% 1.43 shares
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No 99.9% 10.11 shares
- Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes 89.7% 2.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 96.3% 2.08 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?No 97.6% 1.02 shares
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No 99.8% 5.61 shares
- Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 83% 1.2 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 95.9% 1.04 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Up Only podcast released by October 31?No 73% 1.37 shares