Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $120.09
- Potential payout
- $190.49
- Potential profit
- $70.41
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $20.09
Polymarket Trader
0x5278Fcfa9840ef2E357195f44846608bd2F75306-1767893614082
0x5278fcfa9840ef2e357195f44846608bd2f75306
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.65
- Realized PnL
- $17.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $11.16
- Potential payout
- $120.61
- Potential profit
- $109.46
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $48.61
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $43.98
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $12.86
- Potential payout
- $42.88
- Potential profit
- $30.01
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $38.42
- Potential profit
- $38.37
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $32.74
- Potential profit
- $17.84
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $24.37
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $22.33
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $12.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $11.6
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $14.57
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.89
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $5.17
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $778.24
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $638.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.44
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.39
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 25?Yes 26% 38.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?Yes 23.3% 42.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?Yes 47% 21.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?Yes 41% 24.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 25?Yes 43% 23.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?Yes 47% 21.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?Yes 34% 6.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?Yes 30.5% 32.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?Yes 8.3% 120.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?Yes 28% 8 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 54% 92.59 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 98.04 shares