Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $3.46K
- Potential payout
- $60.12K
- Potential profit
- $56.66K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$543.01
Polymarket Trader
Crypto4thewin
0x527b46e252981a9269d34dac7c5268053929eb08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.77K
- Realized PnL
- $2.17K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $32.31K
- Potential profit
- $29.72K
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$456.16
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $470.02
- Potential payout
- $17.41K
- Potential profit
- $16.94K
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$135.36
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.4K
- Potential profit
- $17.4K
- User PnL
- -$409.79
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.6K
- Potential profit
- $13.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.5K
- Potential profit
- $13.5K
- User PnL
- -$189
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $892.6
- Potential payout
- $6.16K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$107.4
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $362.77
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.51
Yes position
Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.31
- Potential profit
- $392.31
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.34
- Potential profit
- $309.34
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 12+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
Ends Aug 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.42
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
Ends Aug 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$278.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 14,054.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 1% 5,390.39 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 30 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 497.54 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 11.4% 8,789.66 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 16.2% 6,155.88 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.7% 16,898.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.7% 20,494.22 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.6% 7,575.76 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9.4% 1,736.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.6% 15,151.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 4.1% 13,166.84 shares