No position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $111.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $169.44
Polymarket Trader
8daniel8
0x52870486f74fcd2fe707821b9aa8da0f6d8c3a16
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $362.04
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $416.67
- Potential payout
- $502.01
- Potential profit
- $85.34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.6%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $4.68
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.53
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $40.73
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Connecticut Huskies position
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?Yes 52% 4.66 shares
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?No 50.1% 376.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 30% 144.44 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes 2% 89 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No 65% 347 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 15% 125 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes 13.5% 58 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 22% 40.65 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 22% 1 shares