Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $361.6
- Potential payout
- $904
- Potential profit
- $542.4
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$36.16
Polymarket Trader
LisaBoyer5810
0x528f3e7eb15ed23e7e47af85421d0c6e6a807572
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $4.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $251.28
- Potential payout
- $882
- Potential profit
- $630.72
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$66.24
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $379.17
- Potential payout
- $396
- Potential profit
- $16.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $208.89
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $130.76
- Potential payout
- $136
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $64.12
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $16.91
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $590.4
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,200,000 and 2,300,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.76
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.78
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.46
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.2
No position
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.44
No position
Will Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.2
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.16
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $185.51
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.1
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.51
No position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $123.76
No position
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.9
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.12
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.51
Yes position
Will "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.92
Yes position
Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.07
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.15
No position
Will Trump say "Witch" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Penn State Nittany Lions position
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $78.91
No position
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.9
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $70.56
No position
Will Trump say "King Charles" this week? (April 12)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.16
Yes position
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Yes 4% 213 shares
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No 76% 1,011 shares
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No 75% 1,011 shares
- Named storm forms before hurricane season?No 68% 739 shares
- Will Marta Barbará as Kaoruko Waguri (The Fragrant Flower Blooms With Dignity) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Castilian Spanish) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No 72% 530 shares
- Named storm forms before hurricane season?No 58% 739 shares
- Will Trump say "Two week" or "two-week" this week? (April 19)No 43% 664 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?No 80% 549 shares
- Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No 81% 797 shares
- US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to ScoreNo 47% 835 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?No 81% 549 shares
- US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to ScoreNo 47% 835 shares