Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $28.52
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Polymarket Trader
0x5293...835f
0x52931ec049fb2ee769bf5cef3f8e01902446835f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $46.21
- Realized PnL
- -$5.39
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $21.2
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $11.66
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $15.06
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $11.96
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$5.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 19% 7 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 6.9% 16 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No 94% 6 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 79% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 31 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 77% 8 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 3.7% 40 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 85.5% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.1% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93% 9 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 88% 5 shares