Polymarket Trader

sadqc.deroy

0x529574dd9a95d8976e044d2a9e1304ba3a370dcb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.37
Realized PnL: -$23.49
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.67
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $23.19
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.29
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $12.03
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.04
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $6.29
Potential profit: $5.31
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 6.08x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Whale" in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2.59
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.6% 2.59 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.2% 5.49 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.9% 6.29 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 6.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Up 7% 14.29 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?

No 17% 5.88 shares
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will Trump say "Whale" in July?

Yes 16.7% 6 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 15, 2026?

No 8% 13 shares